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Palantir Joins Nasdaq 100: Is the Rally Losing Steam?

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Lilly Mwogah Fact check, Reviewer
    Summary:
  • Discover the latest on Palantir Technologies as it joins the Nasdaq 100. Explore its AI-driven growth, technical analysis, key support levels

Palantir Technologies (PLTR) has surged this year, fueled by the AI boom and a string of government contracts. Its inclusion in the Nasdaq 100 earlier this week added yet another feather to its cap. But instead of rallying further, Palantir’s stock has struggled to reclaim its recent highs, leaving investors questioning its next move.

The stock closed at $74.21 on Wednesday, below its December high of $80.97. While it’s still up over 170% year-to-date, recent price action suggests that Palantir may be entering a consolidation phase, with traders locking in profits after an explosive run.

Key levels on the chart:

  • Support: $70.20, just above the 20-day EMA, is the first line of defense. If this breaks, the stock could test the $65.79 level, where buyers have previously stepped in.
  • Resistance: $80.97, the December high, is the key barrier. A breakout here could reignite momentum, targeting $85 and beyond.

But recent price action suggests Palantir might struggle to retest $80 in the short term. Volume has thinned out compared to the earlier rally, and the Nasdaq 100 inclusion may have been priced in weeks ago.

Palantir Daily Chart

Does the Nasdaq 100 Listing Change the Story?

History suggests that stocks added to major indices often see initial enthusiasm followed by a cooling-off period. For Palantir, this might indicate lateral trading as the market processes its rapid ascent. Nonetheless, the more significant question is if the company can validate its high valuation in 2024 and later.

AI continues to be Palantir’s key advantage. Its dedicated software for defense, healthcare, and business applications places it favorably in a rapidly expanding sector. However, with shares currently operating at a premium, the margin for mistake is extremely narrow. Investors need to look for triggers such as new contracts or earnings surprises to maintain the rally.

Key Takeaways

  • Palantir’s stock is up 170% in 2024 but has struggled to maintain its highs post-Nasdaq 100 inclusion.
  • Support at $70.20 will be critical to watch, while $80.97 remains the resistance to beat.
  • Long-term, Palantir’s AI dominance could fuel growth, but near-term consolidation is likely.

For now, Palantir’s inclusion in the Nasdaq 100 is a milestone, but the stock might need fresh catalysts to break out of its current range. Investors should tread carefully, balancing its growth potential against near-term risks.