Nvidia Stock Price Prediction 2025, 2030, 2040 Amid DeepSeek Disruption

Summary:
• Nvidia Stock Price Prediction: In this article, I explain why I remain bullish on NASDAQ: NVDA in both the short and long term;

NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) has redefined the AI industry, becoming the backbone of artificial intelligence and data processing. Once known primarily for gaming GPUs, NVIDIA has evolved into the dominant force behind AI training, data centers, and high-performance computing. The company reached an astonishing milestone in June 2024, surpassing Microsoft and Apple to become the world’s largest publicly traded company with a $3.34 trillion market capitalization. However, after the historic rally, NVDA stock faced volatility, undergoing a sharp correction before stabilizing.

Notably, the company’s value doubled in the first six months of 2024, after tripling its value in 2023. The stock price registered a post-split high price of $140.76 on June 20, but declined sharply to $118.11 four days later as many investors took profit following a long bull run. However, as of this writing, NVDA has returned to the uptrend and trades at $125.24, which is about 4 percent higher than the stock split price.

Nvidia share price has outperformed the rest of the tech blue-chip tech companies this year, including the likes of Apple and Microsoft. The company’s stock was split after it rose past $1,200 per share, necessitating the move to make it more affordable to retail investors. The company’s AI chips have seen a spike in demand, with tech companies such as Amazon, Meta and Microsoft among its biggest customers.

February 2024, however, was the pinnacle of its success. Following a forecast-beating Q3 2023 earnings report, it saw its value rise by $272 billion in a single day.

As of February 6, 2025, NVIDIA stock is trading at $124.83, recovering from a recent dip to $116.19. Investors are now debating whether the AI boom has reached its peak or if NVIDIA has room for further gains. With increasing competition from AMD and Intel, as well as rising concerns about the sustainability of high valuations, NVDA is at a pivotal moment in its trajectory.

What Is Nvidia Stock?

Nvidia is an American multinational fabless chips manufacturer that specializes in the production of graphical processing units (GPU), data science APIs, and system-on-a-chip (SoCs) units. The high-tech company is also a dominant supplier of Artificial Intelligence (AI) hardware.

Nvidia was founded in 1993 to address the computational constraints of that era with a completely different approach. The company was listed on Nasdaq stock exchange on January 22, 1999. Nvidia stock trades on the exchange with the ticker NVDA and is one of the major tech companies in the world.

Nvidia Stock Latest News

Nvidia passes Apple and Microsoft in market cap

Nvidia is scheduled to start shipping its Blackwell processors in the second half of the year, and the company is upbeat that the demand will be good. Investment Bank Morgan Stanley retained a buy rating for NVDA in its July release, with analyst Joseph Moore revising upwards his price target from $116 to $144. That would give it a headroom of 15% from the current stock price. The bank’s research showed high demand for Nvidia’s H100 and H200 Graphical Processing Units (GPUs), particularly in China and Taiwan.

At the Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition Conference held on June 17-June 21, Nvidia showcased the capabilities of Visual Generative AI in high definition mapping and autonomous driving.

June 2024 will be a memorable month for Nvidia, as it is the month when it rocketed past long-term tech giants, Apple and Microsoft to become the world’s largest company by market capitalisation. At $3.34 trillion, Nvidia was worth more than twice the value of Facebook’s parent company, Meta, and almost six-times the value of Tesla. However, the decline in the share price from $140 on June 20 to $125 means that the valuation currently stands at $3.09 trillion- below Microsoft and Apple.

The company’s Blackwell platform’ announced in March, was central to its growth, as it heralded a new dawn in the AI world, redifining what AI chips could do. Blackwell is a platform consisting of software as a service and hardware, and with it, Nvidia stays miles ahead of the competition.

The first product under the Blackwell platform will be GB200 chips, which are optimised for GPUs running on artificial intelligence and will be available towards the end of the year. GB200 reportedly have the capacity to train large language(LLMs) models 4x faster than H100 processor and are fitted with over 200 billion transistors. Google, Oracle, Amazon and Microsoft have already set up themselves to provide access to GB200 through their cloud platforms.

Intel to rival NVIDIA’s Blackwell

Not wanting to be left behind in the AI revoution, Intel has been developing its own range of AI-centric GPU products. For a long time, Nvidia has been dominating the GPU and AI market by being the biggest chip manufacturer. In the same way, Intel is the market leader when it comes to CPU chips.

Intel announced on April 9th at the Intel Vision 2024 event that it has developed an advanced version of its AI processors called the Gaudi 3 chip. The Gaudi 3 AI accelerator chips are reportedly 150% faster than NVIDIA’s H100 processors. In addition, they have 2X the network bandwidth and 1,5 times the memory bandwidth of Gaudi 2 processors. Intel says that the product will be available from the third quarter of the year. The company also revealed that it will ship the product to Dell, HP Enterprise, Lenovo and Supermicro.

Insider Selling At Nvidia

The latest bull run has seen a number of big names at NVIDIA sell their shares. According to the latest news, Nvidia director Tench Coxe, who has been on the company’s board since 1993, has sold 200,000 shares worth $170 million. Another board member, Mark Stevens sold 12,000 shares at $10.2 million.

Nvidia Earnings

Nvidia’s Q4 fiscal year 2024 earnings sparked the fire that has kept NASDAQ: NVDA soaring. With sales tripling to $22.10 billion and net income soaring to $12.29 billion, Nvidia’s fourth-quarter earnings beat forecasts by far and shook Wall Street. Analysts estimate earnings above $20 billion in 2024. Nvidia projects to earn $24 billion, with a margin of plus or negative 2% in the first quarter of fiscal year 2025.

Nvidia Stock Price Analysis & Outlook – February 20, 2025

Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) is trading at $139.23, showing a strong recovery after bouncing off support at $130.03 earlier this month. The stock is currently testing a key resistance zone at $139.50-$144.46, a level that has capped upside moves in previous attempts. A breakout above this region could fuel further gains toward $149.57 and potentially $153.04. On the downside, the $136.15 level serves as immediate support, with stronger demand likely around $130.03 and $120.64 in case of a pullback.

Technical Indicators

• RSI: 56.82 – Momentum remains neutral, suggesting room for further upside.
• MACD: Bullish crossover confirmed, with the MACD line trending above the signal line, indicating growing buying pressure.
• Outlook: A close above $144.46 could trigger a rally toward $149-$153, while failure to hold above $136 may lead to short-term weakness.

Nvidia in the News: AI Expansion and Earnings Hype In Feb 2025

Nvidia continues to dominate AI chip development, with reports this week indicating that its upcoming Blackwell B200 GPUs are expected to power next-generation AI models from OpenAI and Google. Demand for Nvidia’s chips remains strong, with major cloud providers racing to secure supply ahead of anticipated shortages later this year.

Meanwhile, analysts are highly optimistic about the company’s February 26 earnings report, expecting revenue growth to outpace estimates due to robust sales of AI accelerators and increased enterprise spending on AI infrastructure. With record-breaking pre-orders for its latest AI chips and a bullish sentiment heading into earnings, Nvidia remains a key focus for investors betting on AI-driven growth.

Nvidia Stock Price Prediction 2024

The NVDA chart is on a strong upside momentum, and it is probable that we might see it maintain the upward trajectory in the near term as retail investors raise their appetite. However, as stated above, the company is potentially overvalued, as the stock has been overbought for a long period. Also, down the line, investors will start looking at the level of innovation in the AI industry, especially the AI products that Nvidia’s key customers like Meta, Apple, Google and Microsoft come up with.

Intense competition among the tech giants will be music to Nvidia’s ears, at it will mean increased demand for its chips and data solutions. Look for a rise to near the $170s territory, and consolidation towards the $75.57-$99.28 range in the medium term, with multiple retests of the range lows and range highs.

Also, analysts are now expecting the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates high until the second half of 2024. These economic conditions won’t be supportive for the stock market. Furthermore, a slowdown in economic activity in China could weigh down on Nvidia stock price.

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Nvidia Stock Price Prediction 2025

DeepSeek AI Effects on NVIDIA Stock

One of the latest developments shaking up the AI industry in the first quota of 2025 is the emergence of DeepSeek AI, a powerful open-source AI model designed to compete with OpenAI’s GPT-4 and Google’s Gemini models. DeepSeek AI has demonstrated significant efficiency improvements, reducing the energy and computational power needed for AI model training.

This could have mixed effects on NVIDIA. On the one hand, demand for NVIDIA’s AI chips might soften if companies shift toward energy-efficient AI solutions. On the other hand, DeepSeek’s advancements could lead to even more AI development, increasing the need for NVIDIA’s high-performance computing solutions.

NVIDIA’s next-generation Blackwell GB200 chips are expected to counteract any competitive pressure by delivering even faster processing speeds with lower energy consumption. However, the long-term impact of AI efficiency improvements on chip demand remains uncertain.

Nvidia Stock Price Prediction 2030

Looking ahead to 2030, NVIDIA’s stock is expected to experience continued growth, driven by increasing AI adoption, gaming expansion, and data center investments. Some analysts project NVDA stock could reach $362, representing a 163% increase over today’s price.

More aggressive forecasts suggest that NVIDIA could trade above $800 by 2030, fueled by advancements in AI-driven computing and cloud infrastructure. However, competition from AMD and Intel, along with potential regulatory scrutiny, could pose challenges to sustained growth.

If NVIDIA successfully expands into new AI-driven industries such as robotics, self-driving cars, and quantum computing, its valuation could climb even higher. However, any slowdown in AI demand or supply chain issues could impact the company’s growth trajectory.

NVIDIA Stock Price Prediction 2040 – What’s the Long-Term Outlook?

By 2040, NVIDIA’s role in AI, autonomous systems, and computing could make it one of the most valuable companies in history. Some projections suggest NVDA stock could reach $2,500-$4,000 per share, assuming continued AI-driven growth. However, there are key risks to consider.

• Regulatory pressure could increase, limiting NVIDIA’s market dominance.
• Quantum computing advancements might disrupt NVIDIA’s existing AI chip market.
• Global economic shifts, including deglobalization and AI ethics concerns, could alter NVIDIA’s long-term trajectory.

Nonetheless, if NVIDIA maintains its lead in AI hardware and software, it could remain the dominant force in computing well into 2040. Investors betting on long-term AI expansion may see NVDA as a cornerstone of their portfolios for decades to come.

When Does Nvidia Stock Split?

Since getting listed on NASDAQ stock exchange in 1999, Nvidia stock has split six times. The most recent stock split occurred in June 2024 when the stock split 10-to-1. The other four splits happened in 2000, 2001, 2006, 2007 and 2021.

How To Buy Nvidia Stock?

You may invest in Nvidia stock in multiple ways. There are many online brokers where you can sign up and buy Nvidia stock within a few minutes. A few big names in the brokerage industry include, Fidelity, Interactive Brokers, Robinhood, IG Prime etc.

How Much Did Nvidia Stock Increase In 2023?

Adjusted for the stock split, NVDA stock started 2024 at $48.17, and has surged by 181% to trade at $135.58 per share as of this writing. This makes Nvidia stock, the best performing tech stock of this year. The latest financial report of Q4 FY 2024, triggered an exponential run which took the price to its new all-time high.

Final Thoughts: Is NVIDIA Still a Strong Buy?

NVIDIA’s stock has been on an unprecedented run, fueled by the AI revolution, but recent volatility has led to questions about how much higher NVDA can go. The stock is currently testing a critical resistance level at $125.93, with a potential breakout setting the stage for another leg higher. However, if NVDA fails to hold above $116.19, another pullback could occur.

While long-term growth prospects remain strong, short-term corrections are likely as the market digests AI valuations. Investors should closely watch upcoming earnings reports, new product launches, and macroeconomic developments to gauge NVIDIA’s next move.

I’ll keep sharing updated Nvidia forecast and my personal trades on Twitter where you are welcome to follow me.